Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.361956 3.750599 4.171947 4.663651 5.222911 5.840599 6.576364
2025-02-16 2.785100 3.304384 3.908461 4.666829 5.598646 6.712812 8.155762
2025-02-23 2.433485 3.022042 3.743717 4.701442 5.950577 7.540322 9.742045
2025-03-02 2.117043 2.723990 3.499492 4.574928 6.046410 8.016676 10.901020
2025-03-09 1.900581 2.520301 3.340470 4.521872 6.207355 8.567644 12.198810
2025-03-16 1.723658 2.346212 3.195766 4.461044 6.334425 9.065454 13.460623
2025-03-23 1.646860 2.299327 3.216720 4.628676 6.797679 10.089717 15.635488
2025-03-30 1.531233 2.184643 3.127156 4.619454 6.986474 10.708339 17.237542
2025-04-06 1.423082 2.070421 3.026082 4.578847 7.115404 11.236791 18.746649
2025-04-13 1.278867 1.890296 2.810107 4.336554 6.891274 11.156469 19.178954
2025-04-20 1.210066 1.819856 2.756359 4.347200 7.082293 11.789440 20.965773
2025-04-27 1.167460 1.786506 2.757174 4.445393 7.428433 12.724575 23.438356
2025-05-04 1.118624 1.741235 2.737705 4.511844 7.733592 13.635545 26.032323
2025-05-11 1.070047 1.692859 2.709312 4.560108 8.010926 14.527986 28.731334
2025-05-18 1.024763 1.646411 2.680038 4.603049 8.280949 15.435457 31.602615
2025-05-25 0.955472 1.554557 2.565990 4.481360 8.222695 15.682328 33.059543
2025-06-01 0.903850 1.489471 2.493620 4.429903 8.294742 16.199202 35.204204
2025-06-08 0.855314 1.426582 2.420595 4.370560 8.343910 16.671394 37.316009
2025-06-15 0.843332 1.427341 2.461826 4.534305 8.865913 18.223151 42.324619
2025-06-22 0.807704 1.383250 2.417550 4.525302 9.022840 18.982931 45.462464
2025-06-29 0.770563 1.334122 2.360512 4.485641 9.109027 19.590068 48.304121
2025-07-06 0.710813 1.239977 2.212679 4.248970 8.739313 19.086717 48.040687
2025-07-13 0.685859 1.209452 2.184799 4.259370 8.924506 19.933875 51.709825